Singularity is exponential progress.
What in our reality shows exponential progress?
Do individuals progress exponentially?
No. Individuals have a system by which they learn. If you believe in IQ, they cannot change the system by which they learn.
What are we making in current AI?
Systems by which machines learn.
Can you make a machine that can learn to learn better?
I don’t think so. Its the same idea. You make a system by which it learns to learn. And that limited system again cannot be replaced. You want to change the system of learning itself. And you can only do that by making random changes.
How does our society progress exponentially?
By random mutations. The idea is you don’t know how to make that system by which to learn better. So our DNA has mutations. But that isn’t enough. Through imperfect communication of different entities ideas also mutate through the society. And those ideas are what makes our society progress.
Assertion: Societies progress through random mutations of ideas and people.
If this is true, how would an AI singularity work?
As a result of our progress we will be able to create things that have a system of thought better than our own. But they will not be evolving themselves. Not until you somehow make code mutate like DNA and you put them in a society which can itself evolve and at the end produce a better system of learning, which you again put in a position to communicate with its mutations. And only then you get singularity.
I welcome any ideas or proof of this being right or wrong.